For Polymarket participants who want a second opinion.
Daily probability estimates with full rationale.
What you'll see every morning:
Check the full dashboard when you want depth. Get alerts pushed to Telegram when you want speed.
Who EventEdge is For
• You follow Polymarket regularly - not just during elections.
• Market price: 67%. Your gut: lower. You want a second estimate before you commit.
• You size positions deliberately, not impulsively.
• You'd rather see the methodology than trust a tip.
If you want independent probability analysis with full methodology - EventEdge is for you.
How EventEdge Works - Fast & Simple
Step 1: Market selection: Daily, we filter for active, liquid, and predictable markets so you don’t waste time.
Step 2: Multiple probability review: Independent probability estimates are produced and cross-checked. Events with high disagreement are excluded.
Step 3: News and narrative scan: Recent public information is reviewed to identify developments that genuinely affect probability—not noise.
Step 4: Structured output: You receive a clear summary: estimated ‘true’ probability, directional bias, sizing guide, rationale for the estimate, topic category, and timestamp.
David M.
Cancel anytime. No lock-in. Full dashboard access from day one.
Disclaimer
We provide analysis and research to help you think through events - not advice, guarantees, or trading services. What we share is informational only. Past analysis doesn't predict future outcomes.

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